Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Puebla Calzada
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Cabeza Buey
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
24%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Puebla Calzada wins
0
Draws
0
Cabeza Buey wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
60%
46%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
28%
Home and away record
Puebla Calzada
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Cabeza Buey
last 3 away from home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Puebla Calzada | Cabeza Buey | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Puebla Calzada
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
38%
Behind
25%
Cabeza Buey
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Puebla Calzada |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |
Cabeza Buey |
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Puebla Calzada face Cabeza Buey in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14. Puebla Calzada have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Cabeza Buey have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 48% probability backing Puebla Calzada, home advantage and superior chance creation make Puebla Calzada to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Puebla Calzada, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Cabeza Buey. Our top recommended betting pick is Puebla Calzada Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 11:15 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
