CAF Super Cup · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Mamelodi Sundowns
Home
1-3
Full time
Loftus Versfeld Stadium
USM Alger
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Mamelodi Sundowns v USM Alger pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mamelodi Sundowns wins
0
Draws
0
USM Alger wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
53%
86%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Mamelodi Sundowns
last 8 at home
7W
1D
0L
2.75
points a game
2.38
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
USM Alger
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Mamelodi Sundowns | USM Alger | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Mamelodi Sundowns
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
USM Alger
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns face USM Alger in CAF Super Cup. Mamelodi Sundowns have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game). USM Alger have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 61% probability backing Mamelodi Sundowns, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mamelodi Sundowns to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Mamelodi Sundowns, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for USM Alger. Our top recommended betting pick is Mamelodi Sundowns Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium as part of the CAF Super Cup.
