Serie D - Girone A · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Alessandria
Home
1-0
Full time
Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta
Celle Varazze
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alessandria wins
0
Draws
0
Celle Varazze wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
26%
73%
Attack
20%
66%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Alessandria
last 4 at home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Celle Varazze
last 5 away from home
0W
1D
4L
0.20
points a game
0.40
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alessandria | Celle Varazze | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 3/9 33% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 6/9 67% |
At half time
Alessandria
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
10%
Behind
30%
Celle Varazze
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
38%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alessandria |
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 27 |
| 18 |
Celle Varazze |
10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alessandria face Celle Varazze in Serie D - Girone A. Alessandria have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game). Celle Varazze have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 93% probability backing Alessandria, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alessandria to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Alessandria, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Celle Varazze. Our top recommended betting pick is Alessandria Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta as part of the Serie D - Girone A.
