Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Pro Patria
Home
0-0
Full time
Carlo Speroni
Pistoiese
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
29%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pro Patria wins
0
Draws
0
Pistoiese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
Pro Patria
last 6 at home
5W
1D
0L
2.67
points a game
1.83
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Pistoiese
last 6 away from home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Pro Patria | Pistoiese | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Pro Patria
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Pistoiese
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pistoiese |
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 27 |
| 3 |
Pro Patria |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pro Patria face Pistoiese in Serie D - Girone D. Pro Patria have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). Pistoiese have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Pistoiese's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Pistoiese to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Pro Patria, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Pistoiese. Our top recommended betting pick is Pistoiese Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Carlo Speroni as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
