Serie D - Girone F · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Fossombrone
Home
4-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Santegidiese
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
22%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fossombrone wins
0
Draws
0
Santegidiese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
6%
46%
Attack
20%
40%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Fossombrone
last 4 at home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
1.25
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Santegidiese
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fossombrone | Santegidiese | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Fossombrone
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Santegidiese
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
44%
Behind
56%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Fossombrone |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 |
Santegidiese |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fossombrone face Santegidiese in Serie D - Girone F. Fossombrone have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Santegidiese have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 56% probability backing Fossombrone, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fossombrone to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Fossombrone, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Santegidiese. Our top recommended betting pick is Fossombrone Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone F.
