Challenge League · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Mgarr United
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Naxxar Lions
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
22%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mgarr United wins
0
Draws
0
Naxxar Lions wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
86%
53%
Attack
66%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Mgarr United
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Naxxar Lions
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Mgarr United | Naxxar Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Mgarr United
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
Naxxar Lions
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
17%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mgarr United face Naxxar Lions in Challenge League. Mgarr United have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Naxxar Lions have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 60%.
With a 48% probability backing Mgarr United, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mgarr United to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Mgarr United, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Naxxar Lions. Our top recommended betting pick is Mgarr United Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 60% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Challenge League.
