Serie A · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Genoa
Home
1-2
Full time
Luigi Ferraris
AC Milan
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
28%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
41%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Genoa wins
0
Draws
0
AC Milan wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
26%
Win probability
46%
Team news
Genoa
- L. Venturino · Jumpers Knee
- E. Havel · Ankle Injury
- D. Sow · Thigh Injury
- K. Ehizibue · Muscle Injury
- L. Colombo · Ankle Injury
- F. Meichtry · Muscle Injury
- Amorim · Ankle Injury
- J. Vasquez · Red Card
AC Milan
- F. Tomori · Muscle Injury
- M. Gabbia · Thigh Injury
- A. Saelemaekers · Ankle Injury
- S. Chukwueze · Hip Injury
- R. Loftus-Cheek · Thigh Injury
- W. Bondo · Off the roster
- M. Maignan · Red Card
- M. Gila · Ankle Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Genoa
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
AC Milan
last 8 away from home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Genoa | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Genoa
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
AC Milan
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Genoa face AC Milan in Serie A. Genoa have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). AC Milan have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 41% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
AC Milan's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for AC Milan to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Genoa, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for AC Milan. Our top recommended betting pick is AC Milan Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris as part of the Serie A.
