Premier League · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Sunderland
Home
1-0
Full time
Stadium of Light
Chelsea
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
66%
1.42
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sunderland wins
0
Draws
0
Chelsea wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Team news
Sunderland
- R. Mundle · Jumpers Knee
- D. Ballard · Muscle Bruise
- H. Diarra · Muscle Bruise
- O. Alderete · Red Card
- J. Angulo · Off the roster
- A. Browne · Off the roster
- M. Ellborg · Off the roster
- J. Ta Bi · Off the roster
Chelsea
- J. Hato · Wound
- João Pedro · Thigh Problems
- M. Lacroix · Muscle Bruise
- R. James · Jumpers Knee
- J. Bynoe-Gittens · Sprained Ankle
- A. Anselmino · Injury
- E. Martinez · Broken jawbone
- E. Emegha · Muscle Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Sunderland
last 8 at home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Chelsea
last 6 away from home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sunderland | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Sunderland
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Chelsea
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sunderland face Chelsea in Premier League. Sunderland have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Chelsea have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Sunderland, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Chelsea. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadium of Light as part of the Premier League.
