Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
AD Nogueirense
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Mortágua
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.75
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
23%
Away
57%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
AD Nogueirense wins
0
Draws
0
Mortágua wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
20%
40%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
57%
Home and away record
AD Nogueirense
last 4 at home
0W
3D
1L
0.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Mortágua
last 4 away from home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| AD Nogueirense | Mortágua | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
AD Nogueirense
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
Mortágua
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
Match Preview & Analysis
AD Nogueirense face Mortágua in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C. AD Nogueirense have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game). Mortágua have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Mortágua's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 57% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Mortágua to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for AD Nogueirense, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 57% probability for Mortágua. Our top recommended betting pick is Mortágua Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
