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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
UD da Serra
Home
1-2
Full time
Campo da Portela
Fátima
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.26 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
65%
Draw
16%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UD da Serra wins
0
Draws
0
Fátima wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
60%
Attack
93%
46%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
65%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
UD da Serra
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Fátima
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| UD da Serra | Fátima | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
UD da Serra
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Fátima
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
UD da Serra face Fátima in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C. UD da Serra have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game). Fátima have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With a 65% probability backing UD da Serra, home advantage and superior chance creation make UD da Serra to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 65% win probability for UD da Serra, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Fátima. Our top recommended betting pick is UD da Serra Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo da Portela as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
