Eredivisie · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
AZ Alkmaar
Home
4-3
Full time
AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）
Groningen
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
23%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
AZ Alkmaar wins
0
Draws
0
Groningen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
26%
46%
Attack
73%
53%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
AZ Alkmaar
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Groningen
last 6 away from home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| AZ Alkmaar | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
AZ Alkmaar
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Groningen
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
AZ Alkmaar face Groningen in Eredivisie. AZ Alkmaar have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Groningen have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 13 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing AZ Alkmaar, home advantage and superior chance creation make AZ Alkmaar to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for AZ Alkmaar, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Groningen. Our top recommended betting pick is AZ Alkmaar Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 15:45 (East Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar） as part of the Eredivisie.
