Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Vimenor
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Castro
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
23%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
63%
1.49
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vimenor wins
0
Draws
0
Castro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
62%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Vimenor
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Castro
last 4 away from home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Vimenor | Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Vimenor
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
22%
Behind
33%
Castro
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vimenor face Castro in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3. Vimenor have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Castro have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 62% probability backing Vimenor, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vimenor to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for Vimenor, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Castro. Our top recommended betting pick is Vimenor Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
