Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Sarriana
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Pontevedra II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
21%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sarriana wins
0
Draws
0
Pontevedra II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Sarriana
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Pontevedra II
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Sarriana | Pontevedra II | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Sarriana
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
Pontevedra II
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Sarriana |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 12 |
Pontevedra II |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sarriana face Pontevedra II in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1. Sarriana have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Pontevedra II have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 62%.
With a 50% probability backing Sarriana, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sarriana to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Sarriana, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Pontevedra II. Our top recommended betting pick is Sarriana Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 62% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
