Segunda División · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Provincial Ovalle
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Diaguita
Santiago Morning
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.56 - 1.29
Win probability
Home
36%
Draw
28%
Away
36%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.85
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Provincial Ovalle wins
1
Draws
0
Santiago Morning wins
30 Aug 2026
Santiago Morning
0 - 0
Provincial Ovalle
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
40%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
36%
Win probability
36%
Home and away record
Provincial Ovalle
last 6 at home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.17
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Santiago Morning
last 6 away from home
0W
5D
1L
0.83
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Provincial Ovalle | Santiago Morning | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Provincial Ovalle
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Santiago Morning
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Provincial Ovalle face Santiago Morning in Segunda División. Provincial Ovalle have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Santiago Morning have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Provincial Ovalle won 0, Santiago Morning won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (36% vs 36%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 36% win probability for Provincial Ovalle, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 36% probability for Santiago Morning. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.85 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Diaguita as part of the Segunda División.
