Ligue 1 · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Lens
Home
1-2
Full time
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Marseille
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
19%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Lens v Marseille pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lens wins
0
Draws
0
Marseille wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
80%
40%
Attack
80%
5%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
62%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Lens
last 8 at home
4W
0D
4L
1.50
points a game
1.38
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Marseille
last 7 away from home
3W
0D
4L
1.29
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Lens | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Lens
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Marseille
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lens face Marseille in Ligue 1. Lens have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 15 (1.2 points per game). Marseille have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With a 62% probability backing Lens, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lens to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for Lens, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Marseille. Our top recommended betting pick is Lens Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis as part of the Ligue 1.
