Liga Profesional Argentina · Friday, 06 Nov 2026
Union Santa Fe
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio 15 de Abril
Velez Sarsfield
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
30%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Union Santa Fe wins
0
Draws
0
Velez Sarsfield wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Union Santa Fe
last 7 at home
4W
0D
3L
1.71
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Velez Sarsfield
last 7 away from home
2W
4D
1L
1.43
points a game
1.86
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Union Santa Fe | Velez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Union Santa Fe
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Velez Sarsfield
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Velez Sarsfield |
32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | +14 | 56 |
| 16 |
Union Santa Fe |
32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | +4 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Union Santa Fe face Velez Sarsfield in Liga Profesional Argentina. Union Santa Fe have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Velez Sarsfield have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 44% probability backing Union Santa Fe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Union Santa Fe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Union Santa Fe, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Velez Sarsfield. Our top recommended betting pick is Union Santa Fe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 06 Nov 2026 at 22:15 (East Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
