Liga Pro · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Aucas
Home
2-4
Full time
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Independiente del Valle
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.8
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
19%
Away
59%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aucas wins
0
Draws
2
Independiente del Valle wins
10 Oct 2026
Independiente del Valle
2 - 1
Aucas
17 Jul 2026
Aucas
0 - 3
Independiente del Valle
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
93%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
21%
Win probability
59%
Home and away record
Aucas
last 8 at home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Independiente del Valle
last 8 away from home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aucas | Independiente del Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Aucas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Independiente del Valle
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aucas face Independiente del Valle in Liga Pro. Aucas have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game). Independiente del Valle have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 1 (2 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Aucas won 0, Independiente del Valle won 2 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
Independiente del Valle's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 59% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Independiente del Valle to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Aucas, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 59% probability for Independiente del Valle. Our top recommended betting pick is Independiente del Valle Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda as part of the Liga Pro.
