Liga Pro · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026
Libertad
Home
0-1
Full time
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Emelec
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
41%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Libertad wins
1
Draws
0
Emelec wins
20 Sep 2026
Emelec
1 - 2
Libertad
04 Sep 2026
Libertad
1 - 1
Emelec
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
20%
66%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Libertad
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Emelec
last 8 away from home
1W
2D
5L
0.63
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Libertad | Emelec | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Libertad
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
Emelec
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Libertad face Emelec in Liga Pro. Libertad have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Emelec have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Libertad won 1, Emelec won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 41% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Libertad, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Emelec. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne as part of the Liga Pro.
