Liga Nacional · Monday, 09 Nov 2026
CD Marathon
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
Atlético Choloma
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
22%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
CD Marathon wins
0
Draws
0
Atlético Choloma wins
17 Aug 2026
Atlético Choloma
0 - 1
CD Marathon
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
53%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
64%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
CD Marathon
last 8 at home
6W
2D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.38
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Atlético Choloma
last 6 away from home
1W
0D
5L
0.50
points a game
0.83
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| CD Marathon | Atlético Choloma | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
CD Marathon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Atlético Choloma
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
CD Marathon |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 8 |
Atlético Choloma |
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
CD Marathon face Atlético Choloma in Liga Nacional. CD Marathon have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Atlético Choloma have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, CD Marathon won 1, Atlético Choloma won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 64% probability backing CD Marathon, home advantage and superior chance creation make CD Marathon to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for CD Marathon, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Atlético Choloma. Our top recommended betting pick is CD Marathon Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 09 Nov 2026 at 01:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal as part of the Liga Nacional.
