Liga MX · Monday, 09 Nov 2026
Leon
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio León
Guadalajara Chivas
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.86
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
19%
Away
62%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leon wins
0
Draws
0
Guadalajara Chivas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
73%
46%
Attack
53%
46%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
62%
Home and away record
Leon
last 8 at home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Guadalajara Chivas
last 8 away from home
4W
4D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Leon | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Leon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Guadalajara Chivas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
20%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Guadalajara Chivas |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +11 | 30 |
| 7 |
Leon |
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Leon face Guadalajara Chivas in Liga MX. Leon have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Guadalajara Chivas have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 58%.
Guadalajara Chivas's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 62% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Guadalajara Chivas to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Leon, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 62% probability for Guadalajara Chivas. Our top recommended betting pick is Guadalajara Chivas Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 58% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 09 Nov 2026 at 02:10 (East Africa Time) at Estadio León as part of the Liga MX.
