Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Premier League 2 Division One · Monday, 09 Nov 2026
Middlesbrough U21
Home
1-1
Full time
Heritage Park
Derby County U21
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.49 - 1.58
Win probability
Home
33%
Draw
18%
Away
49%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Middlesbrough U21 wins
0
Draws
0
Derby County U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
73%
13%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
33%
Win probability
49%
Home and away record
Middlesbrough U21
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Derby County U21
last 8 away from home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
2.13
scored a game
1.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Middlesbrough U21 | Derby County U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Middlesbrough U21
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Derby County U21
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 |
Derby County U21 |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 29 |
Middlesbrough U21 |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Middlesbrough U21 face Derby County U21 in Premier League 2 Division One. Middlesbrough U21 have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 13 (1.2 points per game). Derby County U21 have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 9 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
Derby County U21's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 49% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Derby County U21 to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 33% win probability for Middlesbrough U21, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 49% probability for Derby County U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Derby County U21 Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 09 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Heritage Park as part of the Premier League 2 Division One.
