Liga de Expansión MX · Wednesday, 04 Nov 2026
Venados FC
Home
1-2
Full time
Estadio Carlos Iturralde
Monarcas
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.44 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
31%
Draw
18%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
77%
1.22
Goals & trends
72%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
77%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Venados FC wins
0
Draws
0
Monarcas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
31%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Venados FC
last 6 at home
5W
1D
0L
2.67
points a game
3.17
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Monarcas
last 7 away from home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Venados FC | Monarcas | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Venados FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Monarcas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
10%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Venados FC face Monarcas in Liga de Expansión MX. Venados FC have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game). Monarcas have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 72% and Both Teams to Score at 68%.
Monarcas's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Monarcas to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 31% win probability for Venados FC, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Monarcas. Our top recommended betting pick is Monarcas Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 68% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 04 Nov 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
