Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
CA La Paz
Home
3-3
Full time
Estadio Guaycura
Tlaxcala
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.72 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
84%
Draw
7%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
CA La Paz wins
1
Draws
0
Tlaxcala wins
05 Nov 2026
Tlaxcala
0 - 1
CA La Paz
17 Oct 2026
CA La Paz
2 - 2
Tlaxcala
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
66%
86%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
5%
84%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
CA La Paz
last 8 at home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.88
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Tlaxcala
last 8 away from home
1W
4D
3L
0.88
points a game
1.38
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| CA La Paz | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
CA La Paz
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Tlaxcala
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
CA La Paz face Tlaxcala in Liga de Expansión MX. CA La Paz have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). Tlaxcala have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, CA La Paz won 1, Tlaxcala won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
With a 84% probability backing CA La Paz, home advantage and superior chance creation make CA La Paz to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 84% win probability for CA La Paz, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Tlaxcala. Our top recommended betting pick is CA La Paz Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 03:05 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
