Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Monarcas
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Morelos
Venados FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
13%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.27
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Monarcas wins
0
Draws
0
Venados FC wins
05 Nov 2026
Venados FC
1 - 2
Monarcas
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
60%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
74%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Monarcas
last 8 at home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Venados FC
last 8 away from home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Monarcas | Venados FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Monarcas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Venados FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Monarcas face Venados FC in Liga de Expansión MX. Monarcas have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Venados FC have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Monarcas won 1, Venados FC won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With a 74% probability backing Monarcas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Monarcas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for Monarcas, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Venados FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Monarcas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.27 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
