Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Leones Negros UDG
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Jalisco
Durango
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
25%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Leones Negros UDG wins
0
Draws
1
Durango wins
06 Nov 2026
Durango
1 - 0
Leones Negros UDG
23 Aug 2026
Durango
1 - 2
Leones Negros UDG
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
62%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Leones Negros UDG
last 7 at home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
2.57
scored a game
1.71
conceded a game
Durango
last 8 away from home
1W
4D
3L
0.88
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Leones Negros UDG | Durango | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Leones Negros UDG
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Durango
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Leones Negros UDG |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |
Durango |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Leones Negros UDG face Durango in Liga de Expansión MX. Leones Negros UDG have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Durango have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Leones Negros UDG won 1, Durango won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With a 62% probability backing Leones Negros UDG, home advantage and superior chance creation make Leones Negros UDG to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for Leones Negros UDG, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Durango. Our top recommended betting pick is Leones Negros UDG Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
