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EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 10 Nov 2026
Mansfield Town
Home
3-5
Full time
Field Mill
Chesterfield
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
19%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mansfield Town wins
0
Draws
0
Chesterfield wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
66%
Attack
73%
80%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Mansfield Town
last 8 at home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Chesterfield
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Mansfield Town | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Mansfield Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Chesterfield
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mansfield Town face Chesterfield in EFL Trophy. Mansfield Town have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Chesterfield have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 51% probability backing Mansfield Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mansfield Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Mansfield Town, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Chesterfield. Our top recommended betting pick is Mansfield Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 10 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Field Mill as part of the EFL Trophy.
