Reserve League · Wednesday, 11 Nov 2026
Independiente Res.
Home
18:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Lanús Res.
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
14%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Independiente Res. wins
0
Draws
0
Lanús Res. wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
86%
73%
Attack
95%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Independiente Res.
last 8 at home
6W
2D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.88
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Lanús Res.
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Independiente Res. | Lanús Res. | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Independiente Res.
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Lanús Res.
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independiente Res. |
16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | +23 | 37 |
| 2 |
Lanús Res. |
16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | +17 | 36 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Independiente Res. face Lanús Res. in Reserve League. Independiente Res. have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game). Lanús Res. have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 18 and conceding 8 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 69% probability backing Independiente Res., home advantage and superior chance creation make Independiente Res. to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Independiente Res., a 14% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Lanús Res.. Our top recommended betting pick is Independiente Res. Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 11 Nov 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Reserve League.
