Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Primera B · Monday, 16 Nov 2026
Quindio
Home
01:10
d ::
Estadio Centenario
Real Cartagena
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.54 - 1.36
Win probability
Home
35%
Draw
26%
Away
39%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Quindio wins
1
Draws
0
Real Cartagena wins
04 Nov 2026
Real Cartagena
2 - 3
Quindio
16 Oct 2026
Quindio
1 - 1
Real Cartagena
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
40%
53%
Attack
40%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
5%
35%
Win probability
39%
Home and away record
Quindio
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.13
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Real Cartagena
last 8 away from home
1W
6D
1L
1.13
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Quindio | Real Cartagena | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Quindio
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Real Cartagena
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Quindio face Real Cartagena in Primera B. Quindio have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). Real Cartagena have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Quindio won 1, Real Cartagena won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (35% vs 39%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 35% win probability for Quindio, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 39% probability for Real Cartagena. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 16 Nov 2026 at 01:10 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario as part of the Primera B.
