UEFA Nations League · Thursday, 12 Nov 2026
Montenegro
Home
19:45
d ::
Gradski Stadion
Latvia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
5%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.42
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Montenegro wins
0
Draws
0
Latvia wins
02 Oct 2026
Latvia
1 - 2
Montenegro
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
5%
33%
Attack
33%
83%
Defence
33%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Montenegro
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Latvia
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Montenegro | Latvia | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Both teams scored | 2/2 100% |
| 50% 1/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Montenegro
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Latvia
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Montenegro face Latvia in UEFA Nations League. Montenegro have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (2 points per game). Latvia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (0 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Montenegro won 1, Latvia won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 91% probability backing Montenegro, home advantage and superior chance creation make Montenegro to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Montenegro, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Latvia. Our top recommended betting pick is Montenegro Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.42 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 12 Nov 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion as part of the UEFA Nations League.
