Primera A · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Atletico Nacional
Home
20:30
d ::
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Once Caldas
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
18%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.15
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico Nacional wins
1
Draws
0
Once Caldas wins
11 Nov 2026
Once Caldas
1 - 1
Atletico Nacional
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
73%
66%
Attack
40%
53%
Defence
86%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
69%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Atletico Nacional
last 8 at home
7W
1D
0L
2.75
points a game
2.38
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Once Caldas
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.13
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Atletico Nacional | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Atletico Nacional
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
0%
Behind
30%
Once Caldas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
70%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional |
18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | +20 | 39 |
| 8 |
Once Caldas |
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 27 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico Nacional face Once Caldas in Primera A. Atletico Nacional have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Once Caldas have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Atletico Nacional won 0, Once Caldas won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 69% probability backing Atletico Nacional, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atletico Nacional to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Atletico Nacional, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Once Caldas. Our top recommended betting pick is Atletico Nacional Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.15 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 20:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot as part of the Primera A.
