Primera Premier · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Tritons Vallarta
Home
22:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Tapachula
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
20%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
1.57
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
71%
1.32
Goals & trends
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tritons Vallarta wins
0
Draws
0
Tapachula wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
20%
33%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
62%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Tritons Vallarta
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Tapachula
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.75
scored a game
3.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tritons Vallarta | Tapachula | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Tritons Vallarta
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
Tapachula
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
40%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 |
Tritons Vallarta |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |
Tapachula |
10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -17 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tritons Vallarta face Tapachula in Primera Premier. Tritons Vallarta have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Tapachula have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 14 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 60% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 62% probability backing Tritons Vallarta, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tritons Vallarta to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for Tritons Vallarta, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Tapachula. Our top recommended betting pick is Tritons Vallarta Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera Premier.
