Segunda División · Friday, 13 Nov 2026
Leganes
Home
19:30
d ::
Municipal de Butarque
Burgos
Away
Jackpot Selection
Game #12 of 13
Prize: KES 14,993,312
This fixture is featured in the SportPesa Midweek Jackpot
Our recommended jackpot selection is Pick 1 (3/5 confidence).
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.11 - 1.8
Win probability
Home
17%
Draw
24%
Away
59%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leganes wins
0
Draws
0
Burgos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
86%
40%
Attack
73%
40%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
17%
Win probability
59%
Home and away record
Leganes
last 8 at home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Burgos
last 6 away from home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Leganes | Burgos | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Leganes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Burgos
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Leganes face Burgos in Segunda División. Leganes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). Burgos have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Burgos's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 59% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Burgos to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 17% win probability for Leganes, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 59% probability for Burgos. Our top recommended betting pick is Burgos Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 13 Nov 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Municipal de Butarque as part of the Segunda División.
