Championship · Friday, 13 Nov 2026
Ards
Home
19:45
d ::
Venue TBC
Moyola Park
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
23%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ards wins
1
Draws
0
Moyola Park wins
19 Sep 2026
Moyola Park
0 - 0
Ards
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
46%
13%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
46%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
59%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Ards
last 6 at home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
0.83
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Moyola Park
last 7 away from home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
1.57
scored a game
2.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ards | Moyola Park | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Ards
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Moyola Park
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ards face Moyola Park in Championship. Ards have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 8 (0.4 points per game). Moyola Park have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Ards won 0, Moyola Park won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 59% probability backing Ards, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ards to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Ards, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Moyola Park. Our top recommended betting pick is Ards Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 13 Nov 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Championship.
