Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
First League · Sunday, 15 Nov 2026
FC Sochi
Home
14:00
d ::
Fisht Olympic Stadium
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
23%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
66%
1.42
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC Sochi wins
1
Draws
0
Shinnik Yaroslavl wins
12 Jul 2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 - 2
FC Sochi
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
40%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
56%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
FC Sochi
last 8 at home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Shinnik Yaroslavl
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FC Sochi | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
FC Sochi
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
FC Sochi |
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 32 |
| 7 |
Shinnik Yaroslavl |
16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Sochi face Shinnik Yaroslavl in First League. FC Sochi have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, FC Sochi won 0, Shinnik Yaroslavl won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 56% probability backing FC Sochi, home advantage and superior chance creation make FC Sochi to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for FC Sochi, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Shinnik Yaroslavl. Our top recommended betting pick is FC Sochi Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 15 Nov 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Fisht Olympic Stadium as part of the First League.
