Australian Championship · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Sydney United
Home
04:00
d ::
Sydney United Sports Centre
South Melbourne
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
16%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sydney United wins
1
Draws
0
South Melbourne wins
23 Oct 2026
South Melbourne
1 - 1
Sydney United
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
86%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
72%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Sydney United
last 8 at home
5W
3D
0L
2.25
points a game
1.88
scored a game
0.38
conceded a game
South Melbourne
last 8 away from home
6W
0D
2L
2.25
points a game
1.63
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sydney United | South Melbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Sydney United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
South Melbourne
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sydney United face South Melbourne in Australian Championship. Sydney United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). South Melbourne have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Sydney United won 0, South Melbourne won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 72% probability backing Sydney United, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sydney United to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for Sydney United, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for South Melbourne. Our top recommended betting pick is Sydney United Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 04:00 (East Africa Time) at Sydney United Sports Centre as part of the Australian Championship.
