Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Septemvri Sofia II
Home
12:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Kyustendil
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
27%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Septemvri Sofia II wins
0
Draws
0
Kyustendil wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
53%
26%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Septemvri Sofia II
last 5 at home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.20
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Kyustendil
last 6 away from home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Septemvri Sofia II | Kyustendil | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Septemvri Sofia II
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
22%
Behind
44%
Kyustendil
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Septemvri Sofia II |
13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 19 |
| 15 |
Kyustendil |
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Septemvri Sofia II face Kyustendil in Third League - Southwest. Septemvri Sofia II have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Kyustendil have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Septemvri Sofia II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Septemvri Sofia II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Septemvri Sofia II, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Kyustendil. Our top recommended betting pick is Septemvri Sofia II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southwest.
