Liga III - Serie 5 · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Progresul Spartac
Home
12:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Alexandria
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.87 - 2.19
Win probability
Home
7%
Draw
17%
Away
77%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
65%
1.45
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Progresul Spartac wins
0
Draws
1
Alexandria wins
04 Sep 2026
Alexandria
1 - 0
Progresul Spartac
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
53%
13%
Attack
26%
20%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
7%
Win probability
77%
Home and away record
Progresul Spartac
last 8 at home
2W
1D
5L
0.88
points a game
1.38
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Alexandria
last 6 away from home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Progresul Spartac | Alexandria | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Progresul Spartac
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Alexandria
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Alexandria |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 22 |
| 12 |
Progresul Spartac |
12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -5 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Progresul Spartac face Alexandria in Liga III - Serie 5. Progresul Spartac have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 12 (0.2 points per game). Alexandria have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Progresul Spartac won 0, Alexandria won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
Alexandria's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 77% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Alexandria to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 7% win probability for Progresul Spartac, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 77% probability for Alexandria. Our top recommended betting pick is Alexandria Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga III - Serie 5.
