Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Serie C - Girone A · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Renate
Home
13:30
d ::
Mino Favini
Desenzano Calvina
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
27%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Renate wins
0
Draws
0
Desenzano Calvina wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
5%
73%
Attack
13%
60%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Renate
last 6 at home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.83
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Desenzano Calvina
last 8 away from home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Renate | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Renate
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Desenzano Calvina
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Desenzano Calvina |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 |
Renate |
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Renate face Desenzano Calvina in Serie C - Girone A. Renate have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Desenzano Calvina have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 9 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 50% probability backing Renate, home advantage and superior chance creation make Renate to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Renate, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Desenzano Calvina. Our top recommended betting pick is Renate Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Mino Favini as part of the Serie C - Girone A.
