Derde Divisie · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
DVS 33 Ermelo
Home
14:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Purmersteijn
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.44 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
31%
Draw
21%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
DVS 33 Ermelo wins
0
Draws
0
Purmersteijn wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
80%
26%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
31%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
DVS 33 Ermelo
last 5 at home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.80
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Purmersteijn
last 6 away from home
2W
3D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| DVS 33 Ermelo | Purmersteijn | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
DVS 33 Ermelo
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Purmersteijn
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Purmersteijn |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 14 |
DVS 33 Ermelo |
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
DVS 33 Ermelo face Purmersteijn in Derde Divisie. DVS 33 Ermelo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game). Purmersteijn have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 62%.
Purmersteijn's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Purmersteijn to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 31% win probability for DVS 33 Ermelo, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Purmersteijn. Our top recommended betting pick is Purmersteijn Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 62% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
