Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Escobedo
Home
15:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Naval Reinosa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Escobedo wins
0
Draws
0
Naval Reinosa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Escobedo
last 4 at home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Naval Reinosa
last 5 away from home
0W
1D
4L
0.20
points a game
1.20
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Escobedo | Naval Reinosa | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 56% 5/9 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Escobedo
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
44%
Behind
44%
Naval Reinosa
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
38%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Escobedo |
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 18 |
Naval Reinosa |
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Escobedo face Naval Reinosa in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3. Escobedo have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.4 points per game). Naval Reinosa have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Escobedo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Escobedo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Escobedo, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Naval Reinosa. Our top recommended betting pick is Escobedo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
