Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Turégano
Home
15:00
d ::
Venue TBC
UD Santa Marta
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.89 - 2.11
Win probability
Home
8%
Draw
19%
Away
73%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Turégano wins
0
Draws
0
UD Santa Marta wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
73%
60%
Attack
66%
60%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
8%
Win probability
73%
Home and away record
Turégano
last 6 at home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
UD Santa Marta
last 5 away from home
2W
3D
0L
1.80
points a game
1.20
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Turégano | UD Santa Marta | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 78% 7/9 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Turégano
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
UD Santa Marta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
UD Santa Marta |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 13 |
Turégano |
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Turégano face UD Santa Marta in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8. Turégano have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). UD Santa Marta have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
UD Santa Marta's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 73% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for UD Santa Marta to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 8% win probability for Turégano, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 73% probability for UD Santa Marta. Our top recommended betting pick is UD Santa Marta Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
