Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
FA Trophy · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Alfreton Town
Home
15:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Southport
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
18%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alfreton Town wins
0
Draws
0
Southport wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
6%
33%
Attack
13%
33%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Alfreton Town
last 8 at home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Southport
last 8 away from home
0W
2D
6L
0.25
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alfreton Town | Southport | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 7/10 70% |
At half time
Alfreton Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Southport
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Alfreton Town face Southport in FA Trophy. Alfreton Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). Southport have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 10 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 69% probability backing Alfreton Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alfreton Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Alfreton Town, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Southport. Our top recommended betting pick is Alfreton Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FA Trophy.
