Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
FA Trophy · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Bedford Town
Home
15:00
d ::
The Eyrie
Chesham United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bedford Town wins
0
Draws
0
Chesham United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
6%
33%
Attack
26%
60%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Bedford Town
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Chesham United
last 8 away from home
2W
0D
6L
0.75
points a game
1.38
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Bedford Town | Chesham United | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Bedford Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Chesham United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Bedford Town face Chesham United in FA Trophy. Bedford Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Chesham United have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With a 68% probability backing Bedford Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bedford Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Bedford Town, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Chesham United. Our top recommended betting pick is Bedford Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at The Eyrie as part of the FA Trophy.
