Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
FA Trophy · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Merthyr Town
Home
15:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Harborough Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
29%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Merthyr Town wins
0
Draws
0
Harborough Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
60%
Attack
40%
26%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Merthyr Town
last 8 at home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Harborough Town
last 8 away from home
0W
4D
4L
0.50
points a game
1.13
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Merthyr Town | Harborough Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Merthyr Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Harborough Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Merthyr Town face Harborough Town in FA Trophy. Merthyr Town have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 11 (1 points per game). Harborough Town have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Merthyr Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Merthyr Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Merthyr Town, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Harborough Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Merthyr Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FA Trophy.
