UEFA Nations League · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Portugal
Home
19:45
d ::
Venue TBC
Denmark
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
7%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.32
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Portugal wins
0
Draws
0
Denmark wins
01 Oct 2026
Denmark
2 - 4
Portugal
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
55%
73%
Defence
22%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
83%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Portugal
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Denmark
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Portugal | Denmark | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Portugal
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Denmark
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Match Preview & Analysis
Portugal face Denmark in UEFA Nations League. Portugal have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Denmark have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Portugal won 1, Denmark won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 62%.
With a 83% probability backing Portugal, home advantage and superior chance creation make Portugal to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for Portugal, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Denmark. Our top recommended betting pick is Portugal Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.32 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 62% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the UEFA Nations League.
