Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Primera División · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Alianza Atletico
Home
21:00
d ::
Estadio Campeones del 36
FBC Melgar
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alianza Atletico wins
0
Draws
0
FBC Melgar wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
66%
40%
Attack
60%
20%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Alianza Atletico
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
2.13
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
FBC Melgar
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.38
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alianza Atletico | FBC Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Alianza Atletico
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
FBC Melgar
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Alianza Atletico |
15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 28 |
| 7 |
FBC Melgar |
15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 26 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alianza Atletico face FBC Melgar in Primera División. Alianza Atletico have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 12 (1.2 points per game). FBC Melgar have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Alianza Atletico, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for FBC Melgar. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36 as part of the Primera División.
