Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Segunda División · Sunday, 15 Nov 2026
U. San Martin
Home
15:45
d ::
Villa Deportiva USMP
Union Comercio
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.42 - 1.34
Win probability
Home
30%
Draw
33%
Away
38%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.76
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
U. San Martin wins
0
Draws
1
Union Comercio wins
06 Sep 2026
Union Comercio
1 - 0
U. San Martin
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
66%
73%
Defence
40%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
30%
Win probability
38%
Home and away record
U. San Martin
last 7 at home
5W
1D
1L
2.29
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.86
conceded a game
Union Comercio
last 8 away from home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
0.63
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| U. San Martin | Union Comercio | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
U. San Martin
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
22%
Behind
22%
Union Comercio
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Union Comercio |
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 32 |
| 5 |
U. San Martin |
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 24 |
Match Preview & Analysis
U. San Martin face Union Comercio in Segunda División. U. San Martin have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). Union Comercio have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, U. San Martin won 0, Union Comercio won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With evenly matched metrics (30% vs 38%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 30% win probability for U. San Martin, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 38% probability for Union Comercio. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.76 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 15 Nov 2026 at 15:45 (East Africa Time) at Villa Deportiva USMP as part of the Segunda División.
