Primera Nacional · Sunday, 15 Nov 2026
Deportivo Moron
Home
18:00
d ::
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Colegiales
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
25%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Moron wins
0
Draws
0
Colegiales wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
60%
26%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Deportivo Moron
last 8 at home
6W
0D
2L
2.25
points a game
2.13
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Colegiales
last 8 away from home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Deportivo Moron | Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Deportivo Moron
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Colegiales
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Deportivo Moron |
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | +14 | 58 |
| 8 |
Colegiales |
35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | +4 | 51 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Moron face Colegiales in Primera Nacional. Deportivo Moron have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Colegiales have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 1 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 48% probability backing Deportivo Moron, home advantage and superior chance creation make Deportivo Moron to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Deportivo Moron, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Colegiales. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Moron Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 15 Nov 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano as part of the Primera Nacional.
