Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Deportivo Alavés III
Home
15:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Aretxabaleta
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Alavés III wins
0
Draws
0
Aretxabaleta wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
60%
66%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Deportivo Alavés III
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
3.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Aretxabaleta
last 5 away from home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
1.40
scored a game
0.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Deportivo Alavés III | Aretxabaleta | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/9 33% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/9 44% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Deportivo Alavés III
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
14%
Behind
29%
Aretxabaleta
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
71%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Alavés III face Aretxabaleta in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4. Deportivo Alavés III have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game). Aretxabaleta have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 60% probability backing Deportivo Alavés III, home advantage and superior chance creation make Deportivo Alavés III to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Deportivo Alavés III, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Aretxabaleta. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Alavés III Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
