Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
National League - National · Sunday, 15 Nov 2026
Napier City Rovers
Home
00:00
d ::
Bluewater Stadium
Ferrymead Bays
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
5%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.36
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Napier City Rovers wins
0
Draws
0
Ferrymead Bays wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
20%
93%
Attack
13%
13%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Napier City Rovers
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Ferrymead Bays
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Napier City Rovers | Ferrymead Bays | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 88% 7/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Napier City Rovers
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
38%
Behind
25%
Ferrymead Bays
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
17%
Behind
67%
Match Preview & Analysis
Napier City Rovers face Ferrymead Bays in National League - National. Napier City Rovers have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 13 (1.8 points per game). Ferrymead Bays have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 87% probability backing Napier City Rovers, home advantage and superior chance creation make Napier City Rovers to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Napier City Rovers, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Ferrymead Bays. Our top recommended betting pick is Napier City Rovers Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.36 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 15 Nov 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at Bluewater Stadium as part of the National League - National.
